by Pamela Duncan and Matthew Weaver
Across country last month, almost 14,000 people were ready to be discharged but could not be sent home or into care
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| Hospitals in the south-west, south-east and north-west of England are taking care of a record number of patients. Photograph: Peter Byrne/PA |
More people could be spending the time between
Christmas and new year in hospital in parts of England this year than at
any time in the past decade, as
NHS trusts struggle to find social care places for patients medically fit for discharge.
The
latest figures for December to date show an average of 94,200 patients
were in hospitals across England, more than 93,000 of them in acute
settings, the highest in seven winters.
Hospitals
in the south-west, south-east and north-west, the areas with the
highest proportion of medically fit patients who cannot be discharged due to an acute lack of social care, are taking care of a record number of patients.
The
chief executive of NHS England, Amanda Pritchard, admitted the health
service could be facing the “most challenging winter in our history”,
even worse than the height of the pandemic.
In a
Christmas thank you message to staff she said: “I always thought that,
difficult as those initial waves of Covid were, and they really were,
actually it would be dealing with the ongoing pressures, that could be
even tougher – that combination of recovering services whilst also
dealing with continuing Covid and everything else that winter throws at
us.
“We’re facing record demand for many
services from GP services, to mental health services and of course,
urgent and emergency care. But despite these pressures, NHS staff are
rising to the challenge every single day.”
The figures, which reflect the situation in the weeks to 18 December,
show the scale of the challenge facing trusts, which were asked to
undertake a “rapid discharge of medically fit patients” before last week’s ambulance strikes.
The NHS is experiencing a winter of discontent,
with strikes by nurses and ambulance staff and multiple pressures
affecting the service, including record ambulance delays, ever growing waiting lists and thousands of beds required for flu patients, as the virus has begun circulating widely after the Covid pandemic.
Across
England 13,697 patients were ready to be discharged but could not be
sent home or into other care settings in the week to 18 November,
according to the NHS, equivalent to around one in seven people in
hospital.
In the same week last year that
figure stood at 10,694, meaning the number has risen by more than a
quarter (28%) according to figures provided by the NHS.
However,
the south-west – where more than one in five patients are stuck in
hospital despite being medically fit to leave – is particularly badly
affected, with 44% more patients taking up beds than the pre-Covid
average.
Almost two-thirds (64%) of the
region’s 14 acute hospital trusts had higher occupancy rates than the
English average in December, while close to half experienced their
highest levels of occupied beds for at least the past decade.
An
NHS spokesperson said: “There is no doubt the NHS is under considerable
pressure – the latest figures show 19 in 20 beds occupied amid rising
numbers of flu cases in hospital and that’s on top of record A&E
demand, increasing staff absences and over 13,000 patients each day in
hospital despite being medically fit for discharge.
“Thanks
to the efforts of staff and our recent drive on this there has been a
reduction in the number of delayed discharges within NHS control, and
the NHS continues to work closely with social care colleagues to ensure
as many patients as possible can make it home in time to spend Christmas
and new year with their loved ones.”
The
British Medical Association doctors’ union said patients deserved
better. Prof Philip Banfield, its chair of council, said: “Christmas
should be a time people can spend with their families and loved ones and
the thoughts of doctors and nurses will be with those who remain in
hospital.”
He added: “With years of chronic underfunding and
dreadful workforce shortages across the NHS and social care, this sadly
comes as no surprise. There simply isn’t the capacity in the system to
efficiently discharge people who could otherwise be cared for at home or
in other settings.
“In 2023 the government
can’t afford to bury its head in the sand, ignore healthcare workers and
expect patients to put up with the NHS, once the envy of the world,
collapsing around them.”
The NHS Confederation,
which represents hospitals, predicts fewer patients will be kept in
beds this Christmas than the figures suggest.
Its
chief executive, Matthew Taylor, said: “There will undoubtedly be
patients stuck in hospital this Christmas due to unavailability of
social care packages, where they could otherwise be moved back home or
into a residential setting.
“Some NHS leaders
are telling us today that the strikes have led to a slowdown in patients
being discharged from hospital. The strikes aren’t helping, but this
has been a longstanding issue.
“That said,
significant and effective preparatory work went into discharging those
who no longer need to be in NHS beds ahead of the strikes. Although
there has been a slowdown since the strikes, we think and hope that the
situation may be better than what is outlined in these latest figures.”
But
Taylor said more investment in social care would be needed to help free
up hospital beds in future. He said: “The NHS and social care are
working closely together to improve discharge rates but this is an
ongoing challenge.
“We welcomed the
government’s recent extra investment in social care, but that now
urgently needs to be converted into more care packages for vulnerable
people who desperately need social care support. Otherwise they will
continue to suffer and the NHS will continue to have too many patients
occupying beds that don’t need to be stuck in hospital.”
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Hospitals in England taking care of record number of patients